North London derby

It's the North London derby tonight and before we go into detail let me just mention that we have a guaranteed profit bet set out for you on the game, with details available HERE. It's well worth a try as it gives a great profit and we all like a bit of risk free profit now and again.

Onto the match itself now and the bookmakers have Arsenal down as slight favourites for this one at a best priced 8/5 (Paddy Power), but its questionable whether Tottenham should be underdogs for this.

For one, Spurs have had a full 7 days recovery time since their last game while Arsenal played a tough game against Liverpool only last Sunday. Yes Arsenal are still clinging to their title aspirations, especially after Man Utd could only manage a draw at St James Park last night, but Spurs still have a lot to play for themselves, with that all important fourth place still up for grabs.

The main reason for my leanings towards the Lilywhites however, is their superb home record. They have only lost once at home all season in the league, a 1-0 reverse against Wigan way back in August, and since the start of last season have only lost 4 times in 35 games at the lane. They did also beat the Gunners back in November at the Emirates so they are capable of a win against tonights opponents.

The Gunners may have the best away record in the division, with 8 wins from 15 games to date, however they have drawn 4 of the last 5 games and seem to be heading for the seasonal Arsenal fatigue blip right now.

I think the bookies have got this one wrong and the best odds available for a Tottenham victory, 15/8 with Victor Chandler, are very tempting. I'll be plumping for a 'draw no bet' punt however, Tottenham are 21/20 on this market with Boylesports, all other bookies are evens or odds on.

In this evening's other Premier League match, Chelsea take on Birmingham at the bridge. The Brummies aren't exactly prolific goalscorers to date, with only 33 goals from their 32 games this season, but they aren't conceding too many either. In their last 13 games they have conceded more than 2 goals on only 2 occasions so the 6/4 on offer from Paddy Power for under 2.5 goals in the game is very tempting.

I've also got a feeling Mr Torres might nab one tonight, not based on facts or statistics, just a hunch as surely his barren run must come to an end soon. He can be backed at 7/2 with Betfred for the first goal, don't forget we get our money back if he comes on after a goal has been scored.

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