Thursday 29 July 2010

Aalesunds vs. Motherwell

It’d be fair to say that the Europa League is not everybody’s idea of fun.

To win the tournament generally involves travelling to some of the most remote places on the footballing planet, jeopardising your chances domestically, and playing countless matches.

You go through the endless hours of pain and torment, travelling to place that you never want to return to, places like Kazakhstan, Albania, Wales, and what do you get at the end of it?

Europe’s equivalent of the League Cup and lots of belittling looks from those teams that have smugly gone about their business in the Champions League.

Unless of course you happen to be Fulham, in which case you are patronized in the extreme and want to scream every time you hear or see the words ‘plucky Fulham’, or at least, that’s how I would have felt if I was a Cottager.

It’s unsurprising then, that Motherwell boss Craig Brown’s first words after his side’s second qualifying round victory were: “Now we go on a marathon trip.”

You can almost sense the excitement.

Suffice to say, I don’t expect The Steelmen to put on much of a show against Norwegian Cup winners Aalesund, so much so that I believe the hosts to be very capable of covering a one goal handicap...

Which is why Bet365’s quote of 11/4 on such an occurrence is the bet of the round.

Scottish football is not what it used to be, believe it or not, there was once a time when the likes of Gazza, Gennaro Gattuso and Paolo Di Canio plied their trade in the SPL. Now the division is filled with players that would struggle to make it into Bolton’s reserve team.

Unsurprisingly this has led to a dip in European performances, with last year’s effort quite frankly embarrassing. In the Champions League Celtic crashed out in the qualifiers, while Rangers finished bottom of a very winnable group, a full six points and nine goals behind the interestingly named Unirea Urziceni.

Meanwhile, in the Europa League, Falkirk went down 2-0 to FC Vaduz of Liechtenstein, Aberdeen were pummelled 8- 1 by Czech side Sigma Olomouc and Motherwell exited 6-1 to Steaua Bucharest.

With nothing much changing north of the border over the last 12 months (see Celtics 3-0 defeat last night), I don’t expect the Scottish entrants to fare much better this time around, so they are well worth opposing in any match, particularly when faced with an arduous trip.

As previously mentioned, Motherwell aren’t too keen on their upcoming journey and they also face a team that are well into their domestic season (and performing strongly).

Whereas Craig Brown’s men have played in just two competitive matches this term, and inspired little confidence in eventually grinding out a 2-0 aggregate win over Icelandic minnows Breidablik.

There are all sorts of handicaps to choose from in betting but the most common are the Asian handicap...

Which I’ll explain another time...

And the standard handicap, where one team is given a head-start by the bookmaker.

In the case of Aalesunds vs. Motherwell, the Norwegian side have been made rightful favourites and as such can be backed with a -1 or -2 goal handicap.

My tip is to back the -1 with Bet365 at a mouth-watering 11/4

However, it’s also worth noting that Boylesports are offering a massive 9/1 on the hosts to cover a two goal handicap...

Which is well worth a shout if you can foresee another national tragedy like Celtic's surrender last night.




Saturday 24 July 2010

Moto GP Tip

If there’s one thing bookmakers are infamous for (bar making lots of money of course) it’s jumping the gun.

Anyone remember Paddy Power paying out on Arsenal to win the league back in 2003, when the Gunners held a 12 point lead? Or when the same bookmaker paid out on Stoke to be relegated on the opening weekend of the 2008-09 season?

Well, suffice to say on both occasions Mr Power was left with egg on his face and a big hole in his pocket.

And while these are probably the two most famous examples in recent years, Paddy is far from being the only bookie to be caught out. You see, they tend to forget that in sport anything can - and usually does - happen.

So, who’s gone too soon this time? Well, you’ll be pleased to hear that it’s just about all of them, with second placed rider Dani Pedrosa widely available at 8/1 to win the Moto GP World Championship...

And 10.0 with
Betfair

Despite the season not even having reached the halfway stage yet. As regular subscribers will know, I like to vary the sports that we make money from. So with the football season not yet underway, the tennis and golf between major tournaments and the cycling not all that interesting I’ve gone for a good outside bet in a sport that’s made for outside bets... Moto GP.

Now, let’s face it, a lot of motor sport is boring... I can honestly say, I would rather watch a Sex and the City box-set than an Indy 500 race. Yet Moto GP is the complete opposite...

With lots of bikes... Lots of corners... Lots of crashes... And lots of overtaking.

All of which means that Jorge Lorenzo’s current lead at the top of the standings of 47 points is very catchable... Particularly when you take into account that there are 25 points on offer for a race win and ten races to go.

Lorenzo has undoubtedly impressed during the first half of this season but he has also had it easier than usual, with team-mate Valentino Rossi missing the last five races with a broken leg.

However, Rossi is now back in action and means business, finishing an impressive fifth on his comeback last weekend. This is likely to heap the pressure on Lorenzo, who could become frustrated now that he is back in Valentino’s shadow.

And if that wasn’t enough for the 23 year old, he also has to contend with the fact that this would be his first ever World Championship victory.

With this in mind, it would be no surprise whatsoever if he struggles over the next few weeks and months and there’s every chance that the pressure could also result in an early exit or two...

Or four, as was the case last year. Pedrosa on the other hand can focus on doing as he did last season and finishing strongly. In the second half of 2009 he picked up 32 more points than Lorenzo and just 8 fewer than the all conquering Rossi. Finally, as regards other contenders for the championship crown, don't worry because there aren’t any...

Third placed Dovizioso is the weaker team-mate of Dani Pedrosa and all the others are too far behind to challenge.

So, back Dani Pedrosa to win the Moto GP World Championship at 10.0 with
Betfair (or 8/1 elsewhere) and the lengthy odds should ensure that when it gets tight at the top, you'll not only have a potential big priced winner on your hands but an opportunity to lay the bet at a profit...

And who wouldn’t want that?!



Thursday 22 July 2010

Formula One Championship

In Britain we don’t often get generous forecasts...

Normally, we’d be happy enough with occasional sunny spells, followed by brief showers. However, I’ve found one forecast that should really get you excited...

Because this one will ensure your financial outlook remains bright for some time to come.

It’s quite simple really, all that needs to happen is for things to stay pretty much the same. No big shocks need to occur, no managerial meltdowns or calamitous officiating are required...

We just need Lewis Hamilton and Jenson Button to continue to pick up good points throughout the second half of the Formula One season.

They currently sit first and second in the World Championship and have done for most of the campaign to date. Should they continue to do so, we’ll all be quids in. So, what price the likely outcome?

Odds on?

Evens?

No. How about 9/2!?

It’d be fair to say that Lewis Hamilton is a rightful favourite for the title having hit a bit of form recently but Button is also picking up points despite a few qualifying wobbles and was extremely impressive at the British Grand Prix, finishing 4th from a 14th place start.

Crucially, with just over half the season gone, both drivers should continue to improve as the McLaren - which came alive in the second half of 2009 - has its early season flaws ironed out. And as the Red Bull team continue to tear each other apart , it seems only a matter of time before one of them flips and goes on a rampage, screaming nonsensically about front chassis.


So, my money goes on the 9/2 straight forecast at Paddy Power for Hamilton to come first and Button second.

Saturday 17 July 2010

Successful World Cup

Hi all,

I hope you all enjoyed the World Cup and thanks for your emails & messages during the tournament - it seems a lot of you made a good profit over the month so well done!

In response to your messages, yes we are continuing this service to run during the Premier League season so hopefully there is a lot more money to be made from our friendly bookmakers over the coming months.

Once the pre-season games get fully up & running we will be listing some more guaranteed profit bets for you all to help start the new season with a bang, and of course we'll still be sending out our bookie bashing emails to you all.

So keep checking back here for the latest betting tips and any new subscribers, please have a browse through the site, especially our guaranteed profit bets page, to get yourself ready for the action which is starting soon.

Good luck & happy betting!

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Friday 9 July 2010

New Guaranteed Profit Bet

Sunday sees Spain face the Netherlands in the Final of the FIFA 2010 World Cup so prepare for another fantastic guaranteed profit bet to make your weekend finish with a bang.

This bet will give you a MINIMUM profit of 47% - How good does that sound?

If you follow our advice you will make a guaranteed profit of:

£47.20 if Spain win
£53.75 if Netherlands win
£42.50 if it is a draw


Just click
HERE to visit our guaranteed profit bets page which explains in full exactly how to do this. Its pretty simple & will only take you ten minutes or so to set up.
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Saturday 3 July 2010

Profit Bet Today

Don't forget today is the day to hit the bookies once more with a bet on the Argentina v Germany match this afternoon.

This bet will give you a MINIMUM profit of 52% - How good does that sound?

If you follow our advice you will make a guaranteed profit of:

£41.25 if Argentina win
£60.00 if Germany win
£55.00 if it is a draw


Just click
HERE to visit our guaranteed profit bets page which explains in full exactly how to do this. Its pretty simple & will only take you ten minutes or so to set up.

Friday 2 July 2010

World Cup Winner?

Well its Quarter Final time and we are down to the real nitty gritty of the competition now, but can you predict the winner yet? Its a pretty tough line up.

Of the eight teams left in the competition, the only ones I would disregard are Ghana & Paraguay. I wouldn't totally rule out Uruguay, mainly due to an easy(ish) draw and a strikeforce that are on fire for club & country.

We have had only one penalty shoot out so far and with the big guns coming together now surely you cannot rule out another one, in fact you'd be a fool to do so. This makes BET365 offer that they will refund your outright winner bet should your team be eliminated on penalties a pretty good offer.

Before the competition started I backed two teams to win the World Cup, nothing serious, just a few quid to keep interest going. I plumped for Spain & Holland. Now both those teams are plodding along nicely but neither is blowing away teams with fantastic displays of football, and it is not beyond the realms of possibilities that if they keep playing tight organised football they could end up in a shootout. Unfortunately I didn't back them with BET365 so my nerves will be shredded if the dreaded penalty kicks come into play.

So if you fancy a bet on the outright winners I suggest covering your backs and doing so with BET365, at least penalties won't have you hyperventilating.

Latest outright winner odds:


Brazil 12/5
Spain 11/4
Argentina 4/1
Germany 7/1
Holland 7/1
Uruguay 14/1
Ghana 33/1
Paraguay 40/1







Thursday 1 July 2010

New Guaranteed Profit Bet

Saturday July 3rd is sees our old foes Germany take on Argentina in the Quarter Finals so prepare for another fantastic guaranteed profit bet to make your weekend go with a bang.

This bet will give you a MINIMUM profit of 52% - How good does that sound?

If you follow our advice you will make a guaranteed profit of:

£41.25 if Argentina win
£60.00 if Germany win
£55.00 if it is a draw


Just click
HERE to visit our guaranteed profit bets page which explains in full exactly how to do this. Its pretty simple & will only take you ten minutes or so to set up.
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