Value to be found in League Two this weekend

The football season is coming to an end for fans of most lower league clubs this weekend and I'm sticking to games involving teams with something to play for when it comes to my betting advice today.

The Championship standings are all but settled (barring a possible points deduction for QPR) so I'm setting my sights on League 2 this Saturday.

Game of the day in the division is undoubtedly at Chesterfield where the table toppers take on Gillingham knowing a point will clinch the title. Gillingham meanwhile sit just outside the play off zone although they are level on points with the two teams above them. Both teams have had a nervy end to the season with Chesterfield (1 win in 5) and Gillingham (1 win in 4) struggling to get over the finish line. The value in this match can be had by taking the draw at a best priced 13/5 with Bet365. It's certain Chesterfield would accept the draw were it offered to them today and no doubt Gillingham would also be reasonably happy with a point as their two play off rivals are both facing tough games tomorrow.

Elsewhere in League 2 Shrewsbury face Oxford with a chance of securing automatic promotion should they better Wycombe's result against Southend, something they should achieve against a side with nothing to play for. The Shropshire side are unbeaten in their last four games, having collected ten points to give themselves a fighting chance of avoiding the lottery of the play-offs. Oxford appear to be in wind down mode having won just one of their last six matches and I doubt they will have the motivation to match their opponents. So grab the best price available on a Shrewsbury win which is 8/11 with Victor Chandler.

Rotherham v Torquay is the next game on are radar. Similar to Oxford, Rotherham have nothing left to play for and their form of late isn't healthy either, they have not won in their last 7 matches. Contrast that to play off chasing Torquay, who are unbeaten in 11 games including last weeks draw with table topping Chesterfield. I'm plumping for a Torquay victory here which is a best price 13/10 at Bet365 although if you want a little extra security you can back Torquay with the draw no bet at 8/13 with the same firm.

We also have another guaranteed profit bet lined up for you this weekend, this time on the title defining clash at Old Trafford this Sunday between Arsenal & Manchester United, which kicks off at 4:10pm.

Have yourself a risk free bet safe in the knowledge that no matter what the outcome you have made a guaranteed profit of...

£35.00 if Manchester United win
£56.25 if Chelsea win
£60.00 if it is a draw

So head on over to our dedicated profit bet site HERE for full details.

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North London derby

It's the North London derby tonight and before we go into detail let me just mention that we have a guaranteed profit bet set out for you on the game, with details available HERE. It's well worth a try as it gives a great profit and we all like a bit of risk free profit now and again.

Onto the match itself now and the bookmakers have Arsenal down as slight favourites for this one at a best priced 8/5 (Paddy Power), but its questionable whether Tottenham should be underdogs for this.

For one, Spurs have had a full 7 days recovery time since their last game while Arsenal played a tough game against Liverpool only last Sunday. Yes Arsenal are still clinging to their title aspirations, especially after Man Utd could only manage a draw at St James Park last night, but Spurs still have a lot to play for themselves, with that all important fourth place still up for grabs.

The main reason for my leanings towards the Lilywhites however, is their superb home record. They have only lost once at home all season in the league, a 1-0 reverse against Wigan way back in August, and since the start of last season have only lost 4 times in 35 games at the lane. They did also beat the Gunners back in November at the Emirates so they are capable of a win against tonights opponents.

The Gunners may have the best away record in the division, with 8 wins from 15 games to date, however they have drawn 4 of the last 5 games and seem to be heading for the seasonal Arsenal fatigue blip right now.

I think the bookies have got this one wrong and the best odds available for a Tottenham victory, 15/8 with Victor Chandler, are very tempting. I'll be plumping for a 'draw no bet' punt however, Tottenham are 21/20 on this market with Boylesports, all other bookies are evens or odds on.

In this evening's other Premier League match, Chelsea take on Birmingham at the bridge. The Brummies aren't exactly prolific goalscorers to date, with only 33 goals from their 32 games this season, but they aren't conceding too many either. In their last 13 games they have conceded more than 2 goals on only 2 occasions so the 6/4 on offer from Paddy Power for under 2.5 goals in the game is very tempting.

I've also got a feeling Mr Torres might nab one tonight, not based on facts or statistics, just a hunch as surely his barren run must come to an end soon. He can be backed at 7/2 with Betfred for the first goal, don't forget we get our money back if he comes on after a goal has been scored.

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Tips for Saturday April 2nd

Firstly can I just point out that as this is being written on April fools day, should these tips fail to come in you realise I am going to claim it was all a joke. Right that's my back covered, onto the important bits.

First game we are looking at is Saturday's early kick off, West Ham v Man Utd 12:45pm

I recommend backing 'over 2.5 goals' here - which is a best priced 5/6 - Betfred or Victor Chandler

Both these teams have been hitting the goals of late and with relegation worries/titles at stake they will both be going all out to grab the three points on offer. West Ham have been involved in some high scoring games recently with 30 goals being scored in their last 9 league matches. 7 of their last 9 games have gone over 2.5 goals and 60% of all West Ham games this season have yielded 3 or more goals.

As you would expect with a team pushing for the title, Manchester United are no strangers to scoring either. 32 goals have been scored in United's previous 9 league matches and 10 of their previous 12 games have topped 2.5 goals. Away from home the Reds have seen 73% of their games go over the 2.5 goals mark this season.

Next up is the West Brom v Liverpool game which is a 3pm kick off this Saturday.

I recommend backing 'both teams to score' here - best price 5/6 - Victor Chandler or Stan James

Again both teams have plenty to play for and the stats make interesting reading. West Brom have scored in 87% of their home league games this season, that is 13 out of 15 matches, while Liverpool have netted in 83% of all league matches home & away this season. Liverpool are on a scoring run at the moment, they have netted in each league game since a 0-1 loss at home to Wolves on 29th December, that is a run of 12 games.

Now onto the Arsenal v Blackburn game which is Saturdays evening fare on ESPN.

I recommend backing 'over 2.5 goals' in this one - best price 1/2 - Stan James

Now I know the odds are not the greatest on this match so feel free to ignore me if you wish but hear me out first please. Punters at the Emirates this season have seen 42 goals hit the net in the league so far this season, which equates to 2.8 goals per game. Meanwhile Blackburn games away from home are averaging 3.87 goals per game, which is the biggest in the Premier League. Obviously the bookies have noticed this and have priced up accordingly but with stats like that I'm going to risk a bet.

A treble on those recommended bets pay just over 4/1 at Stan James

Finally something else worth noting - Everton are the only team yet to score a penalty in the Premier League this season and Fulham are the only team yet to concede a penalty, surely one of them will succumb this weekend?

So good luck with your betting this weekend, don't forget we have a new guaranteed profit bet laid out for you on the Wigan v Spurs game this Saturday. Head over to our dedicated page HERE for full details on how to grab yourself a profit of at least £28 on the match.

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Barcelona v Arsenal this evening

Can Arsenal get through this tough match this evening? They failed at the Nou Camp last year but they have that priceless victory from the first leg in their locker this time so that sets us up for a fantastic tie tonight.

As of lunchtime the best odds available are:

Barcelona 1/3
Draw 11/2
Arsenal 8/1

Barca are obviously pretty strong favourites, and the odds reflect this, but there is value to be found if you delve deep enough.

Both teams have injury problems with Walcott & Song missing for Arsenal whilst Barcelona have to do without their usual centre-back pairing of Pique & Puyol. Most pundits agree that Barca will have the lions share of possession, as they did in the first leg, but many also agree that Arsenal are better playing the counter attack game.

One player who will be crucial for the gunners tonight is Andrey Arshavin. He is coming into form right now and with Walcott missing he will be required to step up to the plate tonight. He performed well against Sunderland at the weekend and was unlucky to see a legitimate goal chalked off. Sportingbet's 11/2 to score at anytime looks a decent bet to me, especially with Barcelona's 2nd choice centre-back pairing tonight.

While many people would consider it foolish to back an Gunners victory tonight, we do like the look of Arsenal with a 2 goal head start. Stan James has this priced at 11/10 while almost all other bookmakers have it as an odds on shot.

So can the Gunners do it? One statistic makes interesting reading, Arsenal have won the first leg at home 15 times in Europe and have gone on to qualify in 14 of those games.

A good omen? Hopefully!!


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Arsenal v Barcelona

Firstly a quick stat that may be of note regarding tonights match - Barcelona have yet to win an away Champions League knock out round game under Pep Guardiola, that is six in total. So taking that into account our first recommended bet is...

Arsenal to win (draw no bet) @ 7/4 with BetFred

Also traditionally games between these two rivals have been high scoring affairs. The last three matches have seen twelve goals fly in with three being the lowest amount in any one match.

So I'd recommend a nice wager on over 2.5 goals at a best price 4/6 with Victor Chandler

If you want more tips like this delivered straight to your inbox then please sign up for our newsletter on the right, we don't bombard you with spam and it is totally free with a great strike rate this season.

Happy betting, c'mon the Arsenal!!

Best Bet This Weekend

After crunching the figures for this weekend's Premier League matches we have one stand out bet that looks a sure fire winner...

ASTON VILLA v ARSENAL - Sat 27th Nov, 12.45pm (Sky)

'Over 12.5 Corners' @ 4/5 with Victor Chandler

The Premier League corner average is currently 11 per game but Villa home matches are averaging 15.7 corners while Arsenal away games are averaging 14 corners.

Bets on 'over 12.5 corners' have paid out in each of Villa's last three games.

Our email subscribers also received another three value bets this weekend so if you are not yet signed up please do so on the right, it is free and well worth the minimal effort as our strike rate is running at 81% this season.

Liverpool v Arsenal Guaranteed Profit Bet

The Premiership starts this weekend and we have another guaranteed profit bet on the match between Liverpool & Arsenal.

This bet will give you a MINIMUM profit of 50% - How good does that sound?

If you follow our advice you will make a guaranteed profit of:

£37.50 if Liverpool win
£46.88 if Arsenal win
£57.50 if it is a draw

Just click HERE to visit our guaranteed profit bets page which explains in full exactly how to do this. Its pretty simple & will only take you ten minutes or so to set up.